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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30214
来源IDWorking Paper 30214
Political Adverse Selection
Leonardo Bursztyn; Jonathan T. Kolstad; Aakaash Rao; Pietro Tebaldi; Noam Yuchtman
发表日期2022-07-04
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We study how the politicization of policies designed to correct market failures can undermine their effectiveness. The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) was among the most politically divisive expansions of the US government. We examine whether partisanship distorted enrollment and market outcomes in the ACA insurance marketplaces. Controlling for observable characteristics and holding fixed plans and premiums available, Republicans enrolled less than Democrats and independents in ACA marketplace plans. Selection out of the ACA marketplaces was strongest among Republicans with lower expected healthcare costs, generating adverse selection. Computing enrollment and average cost with and without partisan differences, we find that this political adverse selection reduced enrollment by around three million people and raised average costs in the marketplaces, increasing the level of public spending necessary to provide subsidies to low-income enrollees by around $105 per enrollee per year. Lower enrollments and higher costs are concentrated in more Republican areas, potentially contributing to polarized views of the ACA.
主题Public Economics ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Industrial Organization ; Nonprofits
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30214
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587886
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GB/T 7714
Leonardo Bursztyn,Jonathan T. Kolstad,Aakaash Rao,et al. Political Adverse Selection. 2022.
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