| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w29286 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 29286 |
| The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession | |
| Melissa Schettini Kearney; Phillip B. Levine; Luke W. Pardue | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-09-27 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper documents a set of facts about the dramatic decline in birth rates in the United States between 2007 and 2020 and explores possible explanations. The overall reduction in the birth rate reflects declines across many groups of women, including women who differ by race and ethnicity, age, and level of education. The Great Recession contributed to the decline in the early part of this period, but we are unable to identify any other economic, policy, or social factor that has changed since 2007 that is responsible for much of the decline beyond that. Mechanically, the falling birth rate can be attributed to changes in birth patterns across recent cohorts of women moving through childbearing age. We conjecture that the “shifting priorities” of more recent cohorts, reflecting changes in preferences for having children, aspirations for life, and parenting norms, may be responsible. We conclude with a brief discussion about the societal consequences for a declining birth rate and what the United States might do about it. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29286 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586960 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Melissa Schettini Kearney,Phillip B. Levine,Luke W. Pardue. The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w29286.pdf（665KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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