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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29111
来源IDWorking Paper 29111
Fairness in Incomplete Information Bargaining: Theory and Widespread Evidence from the Field
Daniel Keniston; Bradley J. Larsen; Shengwu Li; J.J. Prescott; Bernardo S. Silveira; Chuan Yu
发表日期2021-08-02
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要This paper uses detailed data on sequential offers from seven vastly different real-world bargaining settings to document a robust pattern: agents favor offers that split the difference between the two most recent offers on the table. Our settings include negotiations for used cars, insurance injury claims, a TV game show, auto rickshaw rides, housing, international trade tariffs, and online retail. We demonstrate that this pattern can arise in a perfect Bayesian equilibrium of an alternating-offer game with two-sided incomplete information, but this equilibrium is far from unique. We then provide a robust-inference argument to explain why agents may view the two most recent offers as corresponding to the potential surplus. Split-the-difference offers under this weaker, robust inference can then be viewed as fair. We present a number of other patterns in each data setting that point to split-the-difference offers as a strong social norm, whether in high-stakes or low-stakes negotiations.
主题Microeconomics ; Game Theory ; Behavioral Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29111
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586785
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Daniel Keniston,Bradley J. Larsen,Shengwu Li,et al. Fairness in Incomplete Information Bargaining: Theory and Widespread Evidence from the Field. 2021.
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