G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28871
来源IDWorking Paper 28871
This Time is Not so Different: Income Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession
Brian D. Bell; Nicholas Bloom; Jack Blundell
发表日期2021-05-31
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We use a UK employer-employee administrative earnings dataset to investigate the response of earnings and hours to business cycles. Exploiting our long panel of data from 1975 to 2020 we find wide heterogeneity in the exposure of different types of workers to aggregate shocks. Employees who are younger, male, lower-skilled, non-union, and working in smaller private sector firms show the largest earnings response to recessions. The qualitative patterns of earnings changes across workers observed in the COVID-19 recession are broadly as predicted using the previously estimated exposures and size of the GDP shock. This suggests the COVID-19 recession in terms of its impact responses was relatively similar to those that have gone before, but the GDP shock was far larger in absolute size. Compared to aggregate shocks, we find a relatively small role of firm-specific shocks, suggesting macro shocks play an outsized role in individual earnings dynamics.
主题Labor Economics ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28871
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586545
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Brian D. Bell,Nicholas Bloom,Jack Blundell. This Time is Not so Different: Income Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession. 2021.
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