| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28370 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28370 |
| Poverty in China since 1950: A Counterfactual Perspective | |
| Martin Ravallion | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-01-25 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The other side of the coin to post-reform success is often pre-reform failure, and the policy lessons are found on both sides. The paper estimates how much of China’s poverty rate around 1980—near the outset of Deng Xiaoping’s pro-market reforms—is attributable to the prior Maoist regime. Based on the history, it is argued that South Korea and Taiwan provide a relevant counterfactual. Then a difference-in-difference estimate using historical data indicates that about two thirds of China’s poverty in 1980 is attributed to the impact of the Maoist path since 1950. Further checks and tests suggest that (if anything) this is likely to be an underestimate. It took 10-20 years for China’s post-reform economy to make up the lost ground. The impact of the Maoist path had begun to fade in the 1970s, and half or more of the catch-up was in period up to 1990, under Deng’s rule. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; History ; Labor and Health History ; Development and Growth ; Country Studies |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28370 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586044 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Martin Ravallion. Poverty in China since 1950: A Counterfactual Perspective. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28370.pdf（231KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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