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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28085
来源IDWorking Paper 28085
Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic and Epidemic Diseases
Matthew Goodkin-Gold; Michael Kremer; Christopher M. Snyder; Heidi L. Williams
发表日期2020-11-16
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Vaccines exert a positive externality, reducing spread of disease from the consumer to others, providing a rationale for subsidies. We study how optimal subsidies vary with disease characteristics by integrating a standard epidemiological model into a vaccine market with rational economic agents. In the steady-state equilibrium for an endemic disease, across market structures ranging from competition to monopoly, the marginal externality and optimal subsidy are non-monotonic in disease infectiousness, peaking for diseases that spread quickly but not so quickly as to drive all consumers to become vaccinated.
Motivated by the Covid-19 pandemic, we adapt the analysis to study a vaccine campaign introduced at a point in time against an emerging epidemic. While the nonmonotonic pattern of the optimal subsidy persists, new findings emerge. Universal vaccination with a perfectly effective vaccine becomes a viable firm strategy: the marginal consumer is still willing to pay since those infected before vaccine rollout remain a source of transmission. We derive a simple condition under which vaccination exhibits increasing social returns, providing an argument for concentrating a capacity-constrained campaign in few regions. We discuss a variety of extensions and calibrations of the results to vaccines and other mitigation measures targeting existing diseases.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Industry Studies ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28085
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585759
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Matthew Goodkin-Gold,Michael Kremer,Christopher M. Snyder,et al. Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic and Epidemic Diseases. 2020.
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