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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26939
来源IDWorking Paper 26939
Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier
James S. Cloyne; Òscar Jordà; Alan M. Taylor
发表日期2020-04-06
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要The fiscal “multiplier” seeks to measure how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of fiscal expansion or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and existing conditions in the economy. Using the IMF fiscal consolidations dataset for identification and a new decomposition-based approach, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier varies considerably with monetary policy: it can be as small as zero, or as large as 2, depending on the monetary offset. More generally, we show how to decompose the typical macro impulse response function by extending local projections to carry out the well-known Kitagawa-Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition. This provides a convenient way to evaluate the effects of policy, state-dependence, time-variation, and the balance conditions for identification.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Experimental Design ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Fiscal Policy ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; National Fiscal Issues ; History ; Macroeconomic History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26939
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584612
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GB/T 7714
James S. Cloyne,Òscar Jordà,Alan M. Taylor. Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier. 2020.
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