| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26477 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26477 |
| Does Electricity Drive Structural Transformation? Evidence from the United States | |
| Paul Gaggl; Rowena Gray; Ioana Marinescu; Miguel Morin | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-11-25 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Electricity is a general purpose technology and the catalyst for the second industrial revolution. Developing countries are currently making huge investments in electrification, with a view to achieving structural change. What does history say about its impact on the structure of employment? We use U.S. Census data from 1910 to 1940 and measure electrification with the length of higher-voltage electricity lines. Instrumenting for electrification using hydroelectric potential, we find that the average expansion of high-voltage transmission lines between 1910 and 1940 increased the share of operatives in a county by 3.3 percentage points and decreased the share of farmers by 2.1 percentage points. Electrification can explain 50.5% of the total increase in operatives, and 18.1% of the total decrease in farmers between 1910 and 1940. At the industry level, electrification drove 15.7% of the decline in the share of agricultural employment and 28.4% of the increase in the share of manufacturing employment between 1910 and 1940. Electrification was thus a key driver of structural transformation in the U.S. economy. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; History ; Labor and Health History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26477 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584150 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Paul Gaggl,Rowena Gray,Ioana Marinescu,et al. Does Electricity Drive Structural Transformation? Evidence from the United States. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26477.pdf（1556KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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