G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25768
来源IDWorking Paper 25768
Fiscal Space and the Aftermath of Financial Crises: How It Matters and Why
Christina D. Romer; David H. Romer
发表日期2019-04-22
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要In OECD countries over the period 1980–2017, countries with lower debt-to-GDP ratios responded to financial distress with much more expansionary fiscal policy and suffered much less severe aftermaths. Two lines of evidence together suggest that the relationship between the debt ratio and the policy response is driven partly by problems with sovereign market access, but even more so by the choices of domestic and international policymakers. First, although there is some relationship between more direct measures of market access and the fiscal response to distress, incorporating the direct measures attenuates the link between the debt ratio and the policy response only slightly. Second, contemporaneous accounts of the policymaking process in episodes of major financial distress show a number of cases where shifts to austerity were driven by problems with market access, but at least as many where the shifts resulted from policymakers’ choices despite an absence of difficulties with market access. These results may have implications for the conduct of policy both in normal times and in the wake of a financial crisis.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Fiscal Policy ; Financial Economics ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Financial History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25768
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583442
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Christina D. Romer,David H. Romer. Fiscal Space and the Aftermath of Financial Crises: How It Matters and Why. 2019.
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