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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w25372
来源IDWorking Paper 25372
Venting Out: Exports During a Domestic Slump
Miguel Almunia; Pol Antràs; David Lopez-Rodriguez; Eduardo Morales
发表日期2018-12-24
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要We exploit plausibly exogenous geographical variation in the reduction in domestic demand caused by the Great Recession in Spain to document the existence of a robust, within-firm negative causal relationship between demand-driven changes in domestic sales and export flows. Spanish manufacturing firms whose domestic sales were reduced by more during the crisis observed a larger increase in their export flows, even after controlling for firms’ supply determinants (such as labor costs). This negative relationship between demand-driven changes in domestic sales and changes in export flows illustrates the capacity of export markets to counteract the negative impact of local demand shocks. We rationalize our findings through a standard heterogeneous-firm model of exporting expanded to allow for non-constant marginal costs of production. Using a structurally estimated version of this model, we conclude that the firm-level responses to the slump in domestic demand in Spain could well have accounted for around one-half of the spectacular increase in Spanish goods exports (the so-called ‘Spanish export miracle’) over the period 2009-13.
主题International Economics ; Trade ; Globalization and International Relations
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w25372
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583046
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Miguel Almunia,Pol Antràs,David Lopez-Rodriguez,et al. Venting Out: Exports During a Domestic Slump. 2018.
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