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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w24193
来源IDWorking Paper 24193
The Welfare Effects of Encouraging Rural-Urban Migration
David Lagakos; Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak; Michael E. Waugh
发表日期2018-01-15
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要This paper studies the welfare effects of encouraging rural-urban migration in the developing world. To do so, we build a dynamic incomplete-markets model of migration in which heterogenous agents face seasonal income fluctuations, stochastic income shocks, and disutility of migration that depends on past migration experience. We calibrate the model to replicate a field experiment that subsidized migration in rural Bangladesh, leading to significant increases in both migration rates and in consumption for induced migrants. The model’s welfare predictions for migration subsidies are driven by two main features of the model and data: first, induced migrants tend to be negatively selected on income and assets; second, the model’s non-monetary disutility of migration is substantial, which we validate using using newly collected survey data from this same experimental sample. The average welfare gains are similar in magnitude to those obtained from an unconditional cash transfer, though migration subsidies lead to larger gains for the poorest households, which have the greatest propensity to migrate.
主题Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w24193
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581867
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David Lagakos,Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak,Michael E. Waugh. The Welfare Effects of Encouraging Rural-Urban Migration. 2018.
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