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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23033
来源IDWorking Paper 23033
Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900
Murat Iyigun; Nathan Nunn; Nancy Qian
发表日期2017-01-16
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We investigate the long-run effects of cooling on conflict. We construct a geo-referenced and digitized database of conflicts in Europe, North Africa, and the Near East from 1400-1900, which we merge with historical temperature data. We show that cooling is associated with increased conflict. When we allow the effects of cooling over a fifty-year period to depend on the extent of cooling during the preceding period, the effect of cooling on conflict is larger in locations that experienced earlier cooling. We interpret this as evidence that the adverse effects of climate change intensify with its duration.
主题History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Other ; Economic Systems ; Environmental and Resource Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23033
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580707
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Murat Iyigun,Nathan Nunn,Nancy Qian. Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900. 2017.
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