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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23033 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23033 |
Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900 | |
Murat Iyigun; Nathan Nunn; Nancy Qian | |
发表日期 | 2017-01-16 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We investigate the long-run effects of cooling on conflict. We construct a geo-referenced and digitized database of conflicts in Europe, North Africa, and the Near East from 1400-1900, which we merge with historical temperature data. We show that cooling is associated with increased conflict. When we allow the effects of cooling over a fifty-year period to depend on the extent of cooling during the preceding period, the effect of cooling on conflict is larger in locations that experienced earlier cooling. We interpret this as evidence that the adverse effects of climate change intensify with its duration. |
主题 | History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Other ; Economic Systems ; Environmental and Resource Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23033 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580707 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Murat Iyigun,Nathan Nunn,Nancy Qian. Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23033.pdf(763KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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