G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20842
来源IDWorking Paper 20842
Migration, Congestion Externalities, and the Evaluation of Spatial Investments
Taryn Dinkelman; Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
发表日期2015-01-19
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要The direct benefits of infrastructure in developing countries can be large, but if new infrastructure induces in-migration, congestion of other local publicly provided goods may offset the direct benefits. Using the example of rural household electrification in South Africa, we demonstrate the importance of accounting for migration when evaluating welfare gains of spatial programs. We also provide a practical approach to computing welfare gains that does not rely on land prices. We develop a location choice model that incorporates missing land markets and allows for congestion in local land. Using this model, we construct welfare bounds as a function of the income and population effects of the new electricity infrastructure. A novel prediction from the model is that migration elasticities and congestion effects are especially large when land markets are missing. We empirically estimate these welfare bounds for rural electrification in South Africa, and show that congestion externalities from program-induced migration reduced local welfare gains by about 40%.
主题Public Economics ; Taxation ; Public Goods ; National Fiscal Issues ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Regional Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20842
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578518
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Taryn Dinkelman,Sam Schulhofer-Wohl. Migration, Congestion Externalities, and the Evaluation of Spatial Investments. 2015.
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