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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18746
来源IDWorking Paper 18746
The Missing Transmission Mechanism in the Monetary Explanation of the Great Depression
Christina D. Romer; David H. Romer
发表日期2013-01-25
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要This paper examines an important gap in the monetary explanation of the Great Depression: the lack of a well-articulated and documented transmission mechanism of monetary shocks to the real economy. It begins by reviewing the challenge to Friedman and Schwartz's monetary explanation provided by the decline in nominal interest rates in the early 1930s. We show that the monetary explanation requires not just that there were expectations of deflation, but that those expectations were the result of monetary contraction. Using a detailed analysis of Business Week magazine, we find evidence that monetary contraction and Federal Reserve policy contributed to expectations of deflation during the central years of the downturn. This suggests that monetary shocks may have depressed spending and output in part by raising real interest rates.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; History ; Macroeconomic History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18746
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576419
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Christina D. Romer,David H. Romer. The Missing Transmission Mechanism in the Monetary Explanation of the Great Depression. 2013.
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