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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18046
来源IDWorking Paper 18046
Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels
Torben G. Andersen; Nicola Fusari; Viktor Todorov
发表日期2012-05-03
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要We develop a new parametric estimation procedure for option panels observed with error which relies on asymptotic approximations assuming an ever increasing set of observed option prices in the moneyness- maturity (cross-sectional) dimension, but with a fixed time span. We develop consistent estimators of the parameter vector and the dynamic realization of the state vector that governs the option price dynamics. The estimators converge stably to a mixed-Gaussian law and we develop feasible estimators for the limiting variance. We provide semiparametric tests for the option price dynamics based on the distance between the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for the stability of the risk-neutral dynamics over a given period of time. A large-scale Monte Carlo study indicates the inference procedures work well for empirically realistic specifications and sample sizes. In an empirical application to S&P 500 index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a flexible relation between risk premia and the level of risk. Both extensions lead to an improved characterization of observed option prices.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18046
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575722
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GB/T 7714
Torben G. Andersen,Nicola Fusari,Viktor Todorov. Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels. 2012.
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