| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w16935 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 16935 |
| Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program | |
| James J. Heckman; Rodrigo Pinto; Azeem M. Shaikh; Adam Yavitz | |
| 发表日期 | 2011-04-10 |
| 出版年 | 2011 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper considers the problem of making inferences about the effects of a program on multiple outcomes when the assignment of treatment status is imperfectly randomized. By imperfect randomization we mean that treatment status is reassigned after an initial randomization on the basis of characteristics that may be observed or unobserved by the analyst. We develop a partial identification approach to this problem that makes use of information limiting the extent to which randomization is imperfect to show that it is still possible to make nontrivial inferences about the effects of the program in such settings. We consider a family of null hypotheses in which each null hypothesis specifies that the program has no effect on one of several outcomes of interest. Under weak assumptions, we construct a procedure for testing this family of null hypotheses in a way that controls the familywise error rate -- the probability of even one false rejection -- in finite samples. We develop our methodology in the context of a reanalysis of the HighScope Perry Preschool program. We find statistically significant effects of the program on a number of different outcomes of interest, including outcomes related to criminal activity for males and females, even after accounting for the imperfectness of the randomization and the multiplicity of null hypotheses. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w16935 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574619 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | James J. Heckman,Rodrigo Pinto,Azeem M. Shaikh,et al. Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program. 2011. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w16935.pdf（630KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
