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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w16401 |
来源ID | Working Paper 16401 |
Labor-Market Heterogeneity, Aggregation, and the Lucas Critique | |
Yongsung Chang; Sun-Bin Kim; Frank Schorfheide | |
发表日期 | 2010-09-23 |
出版年 | 2010 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper assesses biases in policy predictions due to the lack of invariance of "structural'' parameters in representative-agent models. We simulate data under various fiscal policy regimes from a heterogeneous-agents economy with incomplete asset markets and indivisible labor supply. Imperfect aggregation manifests itself through preference shocks in the estimated representative-agent model. Preference and technology parameter estimates are not invariant with respect to policy changes. As a result, the bias in the representative-agent model's policy predictions is large compared to the length of predictive intervals that reflect parameter uncertainty. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Fiscal Policy |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w16401 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574076 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yongsung Chang,Sun-Bin Kim,Frank Schorfheide. Labor-Market Heterogeneity, Aggregation, and the Lucas Critique. 2010. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w16401.pdf(361KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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