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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15338
来源IDWorking Paper 15338
Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks
Urban Jermann; Vincenzo Quadrini
发表日期2009-09-10
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要In this paper we document the cyclical properties of U.S. firms' financial flows. Equity payouts are procyclical and debt payouts are countercyclical. We develop a model with explicit roles for debt and equity financing and explore how the observed dynamics of real and financial variables are affected by `financial shocks', that is, shocks that affect the firms' capacity to borrow. Standard productivity shocks can only partially explain the movements in real and financial variables. The addition of financial shocks brings the model much closer to the data. The recent events in the financial sector show up clearly in our model as a tightening of firms' financing conditions causing the GDP decline in 2008-09. Our analysis also suggests that the downturns in 1990-91 and 2001 were strongly influenced by changes in credit conditions.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15338
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573013
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GB/T 7714
Urban Jermann,Vincenzo Quadrini. Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks. 2009.
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