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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15199
来源IDWorking Paper 15199
Measuring Economic Growth from Outer Space
J. Vernon Henderson; Adam Storeygard; David N. Weil
发表日期2009-07-30
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要GDP growth is often measured poorly for countries and rarely measured at all for cities or subnational regions. We propose a readily available proxy: satellite data on lights at night. We develop a statistical framework that uses lights growth to augment existing income growth measures, under the assumption that measurement error in using observed light as an indicator of income is uncorrelated with measurement error in national income accounts. For countries with good national income accounts data, information on growth of lights is of marginal value in estimating the true growth rate of income, while for countries with the worst national income accounts, the optimal estimate of true income growth is a composite with roughly equal weights. Among poor-data countries, our new estimate of average annual growth differs by as much as 3 percentage points from official data. Lights data also allow for measurement of income growth in sub- and supranational regions. As an application, we examine growth in Sub Saharan African regions over the last 17 years. We find that real incomes in non-coastal areas have grown faster by 1/3 of an annual percentage point than coastal areas; non-malarial areas have grown faster than malarial ones by 1/3 to 2/3 annual percent points; and primate city regions have grown no faster than hinterland areas. Such applications point toward a research program in which "empirical growth" need no longer be synonymous with "national income accounts."
主题Macroeconomics ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Agriculture ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Regional Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15199
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572875
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GB/T 7714
J. Vernon Henderson,Adam Storeygard,David N. Weil. Measuring Economic Growth from Outer Space. 2009.
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