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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w12930
来源IDWorking Paper 12930
The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation
Andrew Ang; Geert Bekaert; Min Wei
发表日期2007-02-23
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要Changes in nominal interest rates must be due to either movements in real interest rates, expected inflation, or the inflation risk premium. We develop a term structure model with regime switches, time-varying prices of risk, and inflation to identify these components of the nominal yield curve. We find that the unconditional real rate curve in the U.S. is fairly flat around 1.3%. In one real rate regime, the real term structure is steeply downward sloping. An inflation risk premium that increases with maturity fully accounts for the generally upward sloping nominal term structure.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12930
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570596
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Andrew Ang,Geert Bekaert,Min Wei. The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation. 2007.
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