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来源类型Working Paper
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DOI10.3386/w12922
来源IDWorking Paper 12922
Do Voters Vote Sincerely?
Arianna Degan; Antonio Merlo
发表日期2007-02-21
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要In this paper we address the following question: To what extent is the hypothesis that voters vote sincerely testable or falsifiable? We show that using data only on how individuals vote in a single election, the hypothesis that voters vote sincerely is irrefutable, regardless of the number of candidates competing in the election. On the other hand, using data on how the same individuals vote in multiple elections, the hypothesis that voters vote sincerely is potentially falsifiable, and we provide general conditions under which the hypothesis can be tested. We then consider an application of our theoretical framework and assess whether the behavior of voters is consistent with sincere voting in U.S. national elections in the post-war period. We find that by and large sincere voting can explain virtually all of the individual-level observations on voting behavior in presidential and congressional U.S. elections in the data.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Microeconomics ; Mathematical Tools ; Welfare and Collective Choice
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12922
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570588
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Arianna Degan,Antonio Merlo. Do Voters Vote Sincerely?. 2007.
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