G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/t0171
来源IDTechnical Working Paper 0171
Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Contributing Vectors are Known
Michael T. K. Horvath; Mark W. Watson
发表日期1994-12-01
出版年1994
语种英语
摘要Many economic models imply that ratios, simple differences, or `spreads' of variables are I(0). In these models, cointegrating vectors are composed of 1's, 0's and -1's, and contain no unknown parameters. In this paper we develop tests for cointegration that can be applied when some of the cointegrating vectors are known under the null or under the alternative hypotheses. These tests are constructed in a vector error correction model (VECM) and are motivated as Wald tests in the version of this Gaussian model. When all of the cointegrating vectors are known under the alternative, the tests correspond to the standard Wald tests for the inclusion of error correction terms in the VAR. Modifications of this basic test are developed when a subset of the cointegrating vectors contains unknown parameters. The asymptotic null distribution of the statistics are derived, critical values are determined, and the local power properties of the test are studied. Finally, the test is applied to data on foreign exchange future and spot prices to test the stability of forward-spot premium.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/t0171
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/562364
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Michael T. K. Horvath,Mark W. Watson. Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Contributing Vectors are Known. 1994.
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