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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w0339 |
来源ID | Working Paper 0339 |
Unanticipated Money and Economic Activity | |
Robert J. Barro; Mark Rush | |
发表日期 | 1979-04-01 |
出版年 | 1979 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper discusses ongoing research on the relation of money to economic activity in the post-World War I1 United States. As in previous work, the stress is on the distinction between anticipated and unanticipated movements of money. Part I deals with annual data. Aside from updating and refinements of earlier analysis, the principal new results concern joint, cross-equation estimation and testing of the money growth, unemployment, output and price level equations. The present findings raise some doubts about the specification of the price equation, although the other relations receive further statistical support. Part I1 applies the analysis to quarterly data. Despite the necessity to deal with pronounced serial correlation of residuals in the equations for unemployment, output and the price level, the main results are consistent with those obtained from annual data. Further, the quarterly estimates allow a detailed description of the lagged response of unemployment and output to money shocks. The estimates reveal some lack of robustness in the price equation, which again suggests some misspecification of this relation. |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w0339 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/557514 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Robert J. Barro,Mark Rush. Unanticipated Money and Economic Activity. 1979. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w0339.pdf(2647KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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