G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP17493
DP17493 Growth in the African Urban Hierarchy
Vernon Henderson; Cong Peng; Anthony Venables
发表日期2022-07-22
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要What regularities emerge as countries develop a pattern of built settlement? This paper uses satellite data to trace the evolution of some 50,000 built areas in Sub-Saharan Africa between 1975 to 2014, a period in which total built area increased by a factor of 2.4 due to growth and merger of settlements and the birth of new settlements. The median growth rate of settlements in the smallest initial size bin was twice that of settlements in the largest (of five) bins, rejecting Gibrat's law. Settlements of different size generally specialise in different activities, and we model this by supposing three settlement types: agricultural, agro-processing, and manufacturing/ service based. In the presence of many dispersed agricultural settlements the model predicts regular spacing of fewer and larger agro-processing settlements, and few large manufacturing/ service settlements. This pattern of spacing arises as settlements of the same type are in a competitive relationship with each other (competing for inputs and for sales of output), while settlements of different types are in a complementary relationship (because of input-output relationships). We confirm this empirically by grouping settlements into three size classes and regressing each settlement's growth on its proximity to settlements in the same and other size classes. A fast growing neighbour of similar type reduces growth, while proximity to fast growing settlements of a different type increases growth.
主题International trade
关键词Urban development Urban hierarchy Built settlement Africa
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp17493
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/546588
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Vernon Henderson,Cong Peng,Anthony Venables. DP17493 Growth in the African Urban Hierarchy. 2022.
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