G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP16637
DP16637 A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic
M. Ayhan Kose; Franziska Ohnsorge; Naotaka Sugawara
发表日期2021-10-14
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a massive increase in global debt levels and exacerbated the trade-offs between the benefits and costs of accumulating government debt. This paper examines these trade-offs by putting the recent debt boom into a historical context. It reports three major findings. First, during the 2020 global recession, both global government and private debt levels rose to record highs, and at their fastest single-year pace, in five decades. Second, the debt-financed, massive fiscal support programs implemented during the pandemic supported activity and illustrated the benefits of accumulating debt. However, as the recovery gains traction, the balance of benefits and costs of debt accumulation could increasingly tilt toward costs. Third, more than two-thirds of emerging market and developing economies are currently in government debt booms. On average, the current booms have already lasted three years longer, and are accompanied by a considerably larger fiscal deterioration, than earlier booms. About half of the earlier debt booms were associated with financial crises in emerging market and developing economies.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Covid-19 Fiscal policy Sovereign debt Private debt Deficits
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp16637
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/545577
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
M. Ayhan Kose,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara. DP16637 A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic. 2021.
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