G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14757
DP14757 Estimating the costs and benefits of mandated business closures in a pandemic
julien sauvagnat; Jean-Noel Barrot; Basile Grassi
发表日期2020-05-14
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Typical government responses to pandemics involve social distancing measures implemented to curb disease propagation. We evaluate the impact of state-mandated business closures in the context of the Covid-19 crisis in the US. Using state-level variations in the set of sectors defined as non-essential and forced to shut down, and geographic variations in industry composition, we estimate the effects of business closure decisions on firms' market value, and on infection and death rates. We find that a 10 percentage point increase in the share of restricted labor is associated with a drop by 3 percentage points in April 2020 employment, a 1.87% drop in firms' market value, and 0.15 and 0.011 percentage points lower Covid-19 infection and death rates, respectively. An extrapolation of these preliminary findings suggests that state-mandated business closures might have cost $700 billion and saved 36,000 lives so far.
主题Financial Economics
关键词Pandemic Business closures Non-essential businesses Covid-19
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14757
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543683
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
julien sauvagnat,Jean-Noel Barrot,Basile Grassi. DP14757 Estimating the costs and benefits of mandated business closures in a pandemic. 2020.
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