G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14691
DP14691 The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment
Mary Amiti; Sang Hoon Kong; David Weinstein
发表日期2020-05-01
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We develop a new method of quantifying the impact of policy announcements on investment rates that makes use of stock market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on treated and untreated firms. We show theoretically and empirically that estimates of policy-induced stock-market declines imply lower returns to capital, which lowers investment rates. We estimate that the tariff actions through 2018 and 2019 will lower the investment growth rate of listed U.S. companies by 1.9 percentage points by the end of 2020.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Protection Event studies Adjustment costs
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14691
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543608
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mary Amiti,Sang Hoon Kong,David Weinstein. DP14691 The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment. 2020.
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