| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP14300 |
| DP14300 Conflicts in Spatial Networks | |
| Ashani Amarasinghe; Paul Raschky; Yves Zenou; Junjie Zhou | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-01-11 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We develop a network model of conflict in which players are involved in different battles. A negative shock in one locality affects the conflict in this locality but may also increase battles in path-connected localities depending on the location of the battle in the network and the strength of each locality involved in each battle. We then empirically test this model by analyzing the effect of local natural disasters on battles in Africa. We construct a novel panel-dataset that combines geo-referenced information about battle events and natural disasters at the monthly level for 5,944 districts in 53 African countries over the period from 1989 to 2015. At this fine temporal and spatial resolution, natural disasters are formidable exogenous shocks that affect the costs and benefits of fighting in a locality. We find that natural disasters decrease battle incidence in the affected locality and that this effect persists over time and space. This mitigating effect appears to be more pronounced in more developed localities. As highlighted by the model, these results can be explained by the fact that natural disasters divert fighting activity to surrounding localities, particularly those that are connected via geographic and road networks. |
| 主题 | Development Economics |
| 关键词 | Natural disasters Battle Africa Spillovers |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp14300 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543191 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ashani Amarasinghe,Paul Raschky,Yves Zenou,et al. DP14300 Conflicts in Spatial Networks. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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