G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14202
DP14202 Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations
Dimitris Christelis; Dimitris Georgarakos; Maarten Van Rooij
发表日期2019-12-17
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Using micro data from the 2015 Dutch CentERpanel, we examine whether trust in the European Central Bank (ECB) influences individuals’ expectations and uncertainty about future inflation, and whether it anchors inflation expectations. We find that higher trust in the ECB lowers inflation expectations on average, and significantly reduces uncertainty about future inflation. Moreover, results from quantile regressions suggest that trusting the ECB increases (lowers) inflation expectations when the latter are below (above) the ECB’s inflation target. These findings hold after controlling for people’s knowledge about the objectives of the ECB.
主题Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Inflation expectations Inflation uncertainty Anchoring Trust in the ecb Subjective expectations
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14202
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/543091
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dimitris Christelis,Dimitris Georgarakos,Maarten Van Rooij. DP14202 Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations. 2019.
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