G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14072
DP14072 Austerity and Public debt Dynamics
Carlo A. Favero
发表日期2019-10-22
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要This paper studies the impact of multi-year fiscal consolidation plans on public debt dynamics. Studying the dynamic impact of narratively identified fiscal adjustment plans we find that tax based adjustments result in significant slowdowns of output and inflation but have almost no effect on the debt GDP ratio over a short to medium-term horizon. Spending cuts have instead milder recessionary effects, but contribute to a sustained reduction in the debt GDP ratio. Extending our model to study non-linearities in the dynamics related to the business-cycle and the public debt to GDP ratio, we find that the heterogeneous impact of tax-based and expenditure-based plans on debt mainly emerges mostly in recessions and when debt is increasing rapidly.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Austerity Public debt Output growth Fiscal adjustment plans
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14072
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542957
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Carlo A. Favero. DP14072 Austerity and Public debt Dynamics. 2019.
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