| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13215 |
| DP13215 Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment | |
| Manudeep Bhuller; Gordon Dahl; Katrine Løken; Magne Mogstad | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-10-03 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Understanding whether, and in what situations, time spent in prison is criminogenic or preventive has proven challenging due to data availability and correlated unobservables. This paper overcomes these challenges in the context of Norway’s criminal justice system, offering new insights into how incarceration affects subsequent crime and employment. We construct a panel dataset containing the criminal behavior and labor market outcomes of the entire population, and exploit the random assignment of criminal cases to judges who differ systematically in their stringency in sentencing defendants to prison. Using judge stringency as an instrumental variable, we find that imprisonment discourages further criminal behavior, and that the reduction extends beyond incapacitation. Incarceration decreases the probability an individual will reoffend within 5 years by 29 percentage points, and reduces the number of offenses over this same period by 11 criminal charges. In comparison, OLS shows positive associations between incarceration and subsequent criminal behavior. This sharp contrast suggests the high rates of recidivism among ex-convicts is due to selection, and not a consequence of the experience of being in prison. Exploring factors that may explain the preventive effect of incarceration, we find the decline in crime is driven by individuals who were not working prior to incarceration. Among these individuals, imprisonment increases participation in programs directed at improving employability and reducing recidivism, and ultimately, raises employment and earnings while discouraging further criminal behavior. For previously employed individuals, while there is no effect on recidivism, there is a lasting negative effect on employment. Contrary to the widely embraced `nothing works' doctrine, these findings demonstrate that time spent in prison with a focus on rehabilitation can indeed be preventive for a large segment of the criminal population. |
| 主题 | Labour Economics |
| 关键词 | Crime Employment Incarceration Recidivism |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13215 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542022 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Manudeep Bhuller,Gordon Dahl,Katrine Løken,et al. DP13215 Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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