全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP12306 German Robots – The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP12306
	DP12306 German Robots – The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers
	Jens Südekum; Wolfgang Dauth; Sebastian Findeisen; Nicole Woessner
发表日期	2017-09-17
出版年	2017
语种	英语
摘要	We study the impact of rising robot exposure on the careers of individual manufacturing workers, and the equilibrium impact across industries and local labor markets in Germany. We find no evidence that robots cause total job losses, but they do affect the composition of aggregate employment. Every robot destroys two manufacturing jobs. This accounts for almost 23% of the overall decline of manufacturing employment in Germany over the period 1994–2014, roughly 275,000 jobs. But this loss was fully offset by additional jobs in the service sector. Moreover, robots have not raised the displacement risk for incumbent manufacturing workers. Quite in contrast, more robot exposed workers are even more likely to remain employed in their original workplace, though not necessarily performing the same tasks, and the aggregate manufacturing decline is solely driven by fewer new jobs for young labor market entrants. This enhanced job stability for insiders comes at the cost of lower wages. The negative impact of robots on individual earnings arises mainly for medium-skilled workers in machine-operating occupations, while high-skilled managers gain. In the aggregate, robots raise labor productivity but not wages. Thereby they contribute to the decline of the labor income share.
主题	International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词	robots Skill-biased technological change Labor market effects Germany
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp12306
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541116
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jens Südekum,Wolfgang Dauth,Sebastian Findeisen,等. DP12306 German Robots – The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers. 2017.