全球智库信息集成服务系统

Key Findings

• Increasing Russian and Chinese perceptions of U.S. operational unpredictability to enhance deterrence might be possible but costly.
• The most promising approach would be to increase the range of U.S. capabilities and demonstrate that they give the United States multiple options for achieving its objectives.
• Activities and capabilities that contribute to operational unpredictability do not have to be hidden, and in some cases need to be public.
• There are risks and costs associated with increasing U.S. operational unpredictability, including the possibility of decreasing U.S. readiness or increasing China's and Russia's threat perceptions.