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来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RRA1645-7 |
来源ID | RR-A1645-7 |
Assessing Risk to the National Critical Functions as a Result of Climate Change | |
Michelle E. Miro; Andrew Lauland; Rahim Ali; Edward W. Chan; Richard H. Donohue; Liisa Ecola; Timothy R. Gulden; Liam Regan; Karen M. Sudkamp; Tobias Sytsma; et al. | |
发表日期 | 2022-04-05 |
出版年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | All 27 NCFs analyzed for this report are expected to experience at least minimal disruption from climate change by 2100 under a scenario based on current greenhouse gas emissions
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摘要 | National Critical Functions (NCFs) are government and private-sector functions so vital that their disruption would debilitate security, the economy, public health, or safety. Researchers developed a risk management framework to assess and manage the risk that climate change poses to the NCFs and use the framework to assess 27 priority NCFs. This report details the risk assessment portions of the framework. ,The team assessed risk based on a scale that the National Risk Management Center uses that ranges from a rating of 1 (no disruption or normal operations) to 5 (critical disruption on a national scale). A rating of 3 (moderate disruption) on the national level, although it still allows normal functioning on a national scale, should be regarded as highly significant and includes the potential for major disruptions or failure of NCFs at a local or regional level and for significant economic loss, health and safety impacts, and other consequences. ,Using this risk rating scale and projected changes in eight climate drivers identified in the analysis (flooding, sea-level rise, tropical cyclones and hurricanes, severe storm systems, extreme cold, extreme heat, wildfire, and drought), the researchers examined how NCFs could be affected by and at risk from climate change in three future time periods (by 2030, by 2050, and by 2100) and two future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (current and high). |
目录 |
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主题 | Critical Infrastructure Protection ; Emergency Preparedness ; Global Climate Change ; Natural Hazards ; Public Health |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1645-7.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524763 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michelle E. Miro,Andrew Lauland,Rahim Ali,et al. Assessing Risk to the National Critical Functions as a Result of Climate Change. 2022. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RRA1645-7.pdf(2597KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1651686863723.jpg.p(5KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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