全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Preparing for High-impact, Low-probability Events: Lessons from Eyjafjallajökull

G2TT

来源类型	Chatham House Report
规范类型	报告
	Preparing for High-impact, Low-probability Events: Lessons from Eyjafjallajökull
	Bernice Lee OBE; Felix Preston; with Gemma Green
发表日期	2012
出版年	2012
语种	英语
摘要	The frequency of high-impact, low-probability (HILP) events in the last decade such as Hurricane Katrina, the Deepwater Horizon oil disaster and the nuclear crisis and tsunami in Japan, signals the emergence of a new 'normal' – the beginning of a crisis trend. This report argues that governments and businesses remain insufficiently prepared to manage HILP crises and shoulder their economic, social and humanitarian consequences. The report sets out the economic costs of HILP events and how the impacts of a shock spread across sectors and countries in today's globalized world. The report explores two critical dimensions of the decision-making environment during a crisis – omnipresent questions of scientific and technological uncertainty, and the competing economic and political interests of key stakeholders. Effective messaging and communications have never been more important in the management of high-impact events. The report draws on systemic analysis of social media to understand how the public discourse is shaped; highlights the window of opportunity to influence media messaging; and draws lessons for how the media should handle scientific uncertainties.
主题	Managing Global Resources ; Climate Policy
区域	Europe ; UK
URL	https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/papers/view/181687
来源智库	Chatham House (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/49045
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bernice Lee OBE,Felix Preston,with Gemma Green. Preparing for High-impact, Low-probability Events: Lessons from Eyjafjallajökull. 2012.