G2TT
来源类型Research Report
规范类型报告
Dynamic Analysis of the House GOP Tax Plan: An Update
Benjamin R. Page
发表日期2017-06-30
出版年2017
语种英语
概述This paper presents estimates of the macroeconomic effects, and resulting dynamic impact on revenues, of the House GOP tax plan announced in June 2016. The estimates were produced in two ways. One set of estimates uses a combination of TPC’s Keynesian model (to project short-run effects on output relative to its full-employment, or potential, level) and TPC’s Neoclassical model (to project longer run effects on
摘要

This paper presents estimates of the macroeconomic effects, and resulting dynamic impact on revenues, of the House GOP tax plan announced in June 2016. The estimates were produced in two ways. One set of estimates uses a combination of TPC’s Keynesian model (to project short-run effects on output relative to its full-employment, or potential, level) and TPC’s Neoclassical model (to project longer run effects on potential output). Those models are based on reduced-form relationships between aggregate variables, derived primarily from historical correlations. A second set of estimates is based on the Penn-Wharton Budget Model, which explicitly models the effects of incentives on individual households. Both methods find positive dynamic effects on output and revenues over the first few years, and negative effects in later years.

主题Taxes and Budget
URLhttps://www.urban.org/research/publication/dynamic-analysis-house-gop-tax-plan-update
来源智库Urban Institute (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/479814
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Benjamin R. Page. Dynamic Analysis of the House GOP Tax Plan: An Update. 2017.
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