| 来源类型 | Research Reports
|
| 规范类型 | 报告
|
| Reducing the risks from rapid demographic change |
| Mathew J. Burrows
|
| 发表日期 | 2016-09-09
|
| 出版年 | 2016
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 概述 | In Reducing the Risks from Rapid Demographic Change, Dr. Mathew Burrows explores how longer life expectancies, aging workforces, and high birthrates will affect the future economic growth and development of countries around the world. |
| 摘要 | We are entering a period in which
the West’s postwar social welfare system is under growing threat as the global
demographic structure is being turned upside down. And it is not just the West,
but also China and other middle-income powers who will have to deal with an
aging workforce and unsustainable health and pension costs in the next decade.
For sub-Saharan African countries whose birthrates remain high, overpopulation
carries big costs not only for them, but for the rest of the world, which will
depend on them for a growing proportion of the world’s workforce. $In Reducing the Risks from Rapid
Demographic Change, Dr. Mathew Burrows explores how longer life
expectancies, aging workforces, and high birthrates will affect the future
economic growth and development of countries around the world. Using a
forecasting model developed by the University of Denver’s Pardee Center for
International Futures, this report looks at different future scenarios, and
investigates how medical advancements, migration, and unanticipated drops in
fertility rates might affect current demographic trends.$The report concludes by recommending political and economic measures
that can make a critical difference in whether we end up collectively
poorer and more unstable, or able to fully enjoy the benefits of growing
longevity. It is clear that managing demographic risk will be critical to every
country’s future. Not making the right choices now can lessen economic
potential for decades. There will be few second chances. |
| 主题 | Africa
; China
; Economy & Business
; Migration
; Politics & Diplomacy
; United States and Canada
|
| URL | https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/reducing-the-risks-from-rapid-demographic-change-2/
|
| 来源智库 | Atlantic Council (United States)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/345511
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Mathew J. Burrows. Reducing the risks from rapid demographic change. 2016.
|
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文件名：
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Reducing_the_Risks_from_Rapid_Demographic_Change_web_0909.pdf
|
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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