| 来源类型 | Papers
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | https://doi.org/10.26889/9781784671143
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| A review of demand prospects for LNG as a marine fuel |
| Chris N Le Fevre
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| 发表日期 | 2018-07-02
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| 出版年 | 2018
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| 页码 | 2
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 概述 | The growing level of interest displayed in LNG as a marine fuel, driven by both environmental restrictions and economic attractiveness means usage is certain to grow. There is, however, less certainty over the pace and scale of demand growth. This in part is due to the relatively poor data quality on marine fuel usage but […] |
| 摘要 | The growing level of interest displayed in LNG as a marine fuel, driven by both environmental restrictions and economic attractiveness means usage is certain to grow. There is, however, less certainty over the pace and scale of demand growth. This in part is due to the relatively poor data quality on marine fuel usage but primarily a reflection on the still early nature of market development and uncertainties over alternative fuel options.
This paper, which is a follow up to an earler study published in 2013, aims:
The paper concludes that the shipping sectors that are likely to be more promising for LNG include ro–ro ferries, cruise ships, bulk carriers, large container vessels, and, perhaps unsurprisingly, LNG tankers.
It would also appear that because of the costs of retrofitting, most LNG-fuelled ships will be newly built and owners/operators are unlikely to commit without concluding a long-term supply contract covering both pricing and physical delivery. LNG suppliers which are prepared to conclude such contracts will provide an important stimulus to the market. The lead times involved and the relatively low capital cost of infrastructure suggest that refuelling capacity is unlikely to be a constraint.
A review of recent forecasts suggest that global demand will be in the range of 25 to 30 mtpa of LNG by 2030. The paper describes how many new or converted vessels fuelled by LNG would be required to reach this level, how it might be achieved and where the main obstacles to uptake are likely to occur. It concludes, that on balance, a demand level of around 15 mtpa (excluding LNG tankers) by 2030 is a more realistic prospect at present. |
| 主题 | Energy and the Environment
; Gas
; Gas Programme
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| 关键词 | Energy Forecasting
Environment
LNG
LNG terminals
Marine fuel
Marine transport
Natural gas vehicles
NG 132
NG132
Regulation
Small-scale LNG
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| URL | https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/review-demand-prospects-lng-marine-fuel/
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| 来源智库 | Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (United Kingdom)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/312573
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Chris N Le Fevre. A review of demand prospects for LNG as a marine fuel. 2018.
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文件名：
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A-review-of-demand-prospects-for-LNG-as-a-marine-fuel-NG-133.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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