G2TT
来源类型Project Reports
规范类型报告
A study on quantitative analysis of climate policies in Korea (II)
Kim, Yong-Gun
发表日期2015-12-31
出版年2015
语种英语 ; Korean
摘要
Policies to reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions induce changes of economy and labor demand. This study develops an evaluation model and constructs new input data in order to analyze the employment and economic impacts of carbon taxes on Small and Medium Enterprises(SMEs) in South Korea. We use a recursive Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) model, and the newly constructed input data provides the three types of labor(high skilled, medium skilled, and low skilled) and the 2010 Korean input output table divided by the size of firms (large firms and SMEs). These facilitate analysis of economic impacts on different labor types and firms by size. We improve data reliability by using the updated version(v.9) of GTAP data and the benchmark 2010 Korean Input-Output table. For the further research, discordance between the import and export data in Korean I-O table and GTAP 9.0 trade data should be alleviated in order to increase the reliability of data more. The scenario-based analysis is conducted; recycling carbon tax revenues to 1) increase a lump-sum of household income(CTAX_LS), 2) reduce labor tax of all employees(CTAX_LR), 3) reduce labor tax of employees only working for SMEs(CTAX_LR_S). Carbon price is assumed to be linearly incremented from $(1/6)*50 in 2015 up to $50 in 2020. Economic indices show the different impacts according to scenarios. The total output is reduced in all scenarios. However, the scenario of transferring carbon tax revenues to household income shows the largest decrease in the total output. In the mean time, the two scenarios of labor tax exemption gives similar impacts on large firms’s total output. Large firms have more negative effects on the total output even when labor taxes are exempted only for employees at SMEs. This result implies a strong subcontract relationship between large firms and SMEs. Moreover, this subcontract relationship is remarkable at manufacturing sectors rather than service sectors. The labor market works positively for high skilled workers rather than medium and low skilled employees when the carbon tax scheme is introduced. The real income of high skilled workers increases the most among three types of employees except for CTAX_LR_S. Moreover, labor demand for high skilled workers is the most high or the least decreased. Medium skilled workers, meanwhile, have the least positive or most negative effects of carbon taxes in terms of the change of labor demand and real income.
来源智库Korea Evironment Institute (Republic of Korea)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/198677
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kim, Yong-Gun. A study on quantitative analysis of climate policies in Korea (II). 2015.
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