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来源类型Working Papers
规范类型论文
Valuation of wind energy projects: A real options approach
Luis M. Abadie and José M. Chamorro
发表日期2012-10-17
出处BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2012-11
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要

This paper addresses the valuation of an operating wind farm and the finite-lived option to invest in such a farm under diferent reward and/or support schemes. They range from a feed-in tarif to a premium on top of electricity market price, to a transitory subsidy to capital expenditure. The availability of futures contracts on electricity with ever longer maturities allows to undertake valuations based on market data. The model considers two sources of uncertainty, namely the future electricity price (which shows seasonality) and the level of wind generation (which is intermittent in addition to seasonal). Lacking analytical solutions we resort to a trinomial lattice (which supports mean reversion in prices) combined with Monte Carlo simulation at each of the nodes in the lattice. Our data set refers to the UK. The numerical results show the impact of a number of factors involved in the decision to invest: the subsidy per unit of electricity generated, the initial lump-sum subsidy, the investment option’s maturity, and price volatility.

关键词wind farms electricity stochastic load factor futures mar- kets real options.
URLhttps://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2012-11.html
来源智库Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/177000
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Luis M. Abadie and José M. Chamorro. Valuation of wind energy projects: A real options approach. 2012.
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