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来源类型 | Working Papers |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Valuation of wind energy projects: A real options approach | |
Luis M. Abadie and José M. Chamorro | |
发表日期 | 2012-10-17 |
出处 | BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2012-11 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper addresses the valuation of an operating wind farm and the finite-lived option to invest in such a farm under diferent reward and/or support schemes. They range from a feed-in tarif to a premium on top of electricity market price, to a transitory subsidy to capital expenditure. The availability of futures contracts on electricity with ever longer maturities allows to undertake valuations based on market data. The model considers two sources of uncertainty, namely the future electricity price (which shows seasonality) and the level of wind generation (which is intermittent in addition to seasonal). Lacking analytical solutions we resort to a trinomial lattice (which supports mean reversion in prices) combined with Monte Carlo simulation at each of the nodes in the lattice. Our data set refers to the UK. The numerical results show the impact of a number of factors involved in the decision to invest: the subsidy per unit of electricity generated, the initial lump-sum subsidy, the investment option’s maturity, and price volatility. |
关键词 | wind farms electricity stochastic load factor futures mar- kets real options. |
URL | https://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2012-11.html |
来源智库 | Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/177000 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Luis M. Abadie and José M. Chamorro. Valuation of wind energy projects: A real options approach. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
BC3WP201211.pdf(371KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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