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来源类型 | Book Section |
The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise. | |
Crespo Cuaresma J; Lutz W; Muttarak, R.; Jiang, L. | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015. Eds. Muttarak, R. & Jiang, L. , pp. 241-261 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 13: 978-3-7001-8007-4 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We propose a methodological framework aimed at obtaining projections of the Human Development Index (HDI) that can be used to assess the degree of vulnerability of future societies to extreme climatic events. By combining recent developments in the modeling and projection of population by age, sex, and educational attainment, our modeling set-up ensures that the different components of the HDI are projected using a self-contained, consistent modeling effort. We develop scenarios that correspond to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed in the context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and thus present a projection framework that can be used to expand the evaluation of the potential mitigation and adaptation challenges associated with climate change in general, and with vulnerability to natural disasters in particular. |
主题 | World Population (POP) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13824/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/134503 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Crespo Cuaresma J,Lutz W,Muttarak, R.,et al. The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise.. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
The%20demography%20o(316KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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