| 来源类型 | Book Section
|
| DOI | 10.1007/978-3-662-10351-7_8
|
| Technological substitution and long waves in the USA. |
| Nakicenovic N
|
| 发表日期 | 1987
|
| 出处 | The Long-Wave Debate. pp. 76-103 Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-3-662-10351-7 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-10351-7_8 .
|
| 出版年 | 1987
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | The analysis of historical. replacement of old by new technologies has shown that most of these processes can be described by simple rules that are captured in the logistic substitution model (see Marchetti, 1979; Marchetti and Nakicenovic, 1979; Nakicenovic, 1984), and that technological substitution, expressed in terms of market shares, follows characteristic S-shaped curves. In order to illustrate and describe the properties of the approach we first give examples of how new energy forms replaced their predecessors, since technological changes in the energy system constitute one of the first and most complete applications of logistic substitution analysis. To further explore this method we then describe similar substitution processes in steel production and the merchant marines. |
| 主题 | Energy Program (ENP)
|
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13249/
|
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
|
| 引用统计 |
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/133095
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Nakicenovic N. Technological substitution and long waves in the USA.. 1987.
|
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
