全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1371/journal.pone.0212932
	Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification.
	Sieg T; Vogel K; Mechler R; Merz B; Kreibich H
发表日期	2019
出处	PLoS ONE 14 (4): e0212932
出版年	2019
语种	英语
摘要	Understanding and quantifying total economic impacts of flood events is essential for flood risk management and adaptation planning. Yet, detailed estimations of joint direct and indirect flood-induced economic impacts are rare. In this study an innovative modeling procedure for the joint assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts is introduced. The procedure is applied to 19 economic sectors in eight federal states of Germany after the flood events in 2013. The assessment of the direct economic impacts is object-based and considers uncertainties associated with the hazard, the exposed objects and their vulnerability. The direct economic impacts are then coupled to a supply-side Input-Output-Model to estimate the indirect economic impacts. The procedure provides distributions of direct and indirect economic impacts which capture the associated uncertainties. The distributions of the direct economic impacts in the federal states are plausible when compared to reported values. The ratio between indirect and direct economic impacts shows that the sectors Manufacturing, Financial and Insurance activities suffered the most from indirect economic impacts. These ratios also indicate that indirect economic impacts can be almost as high as direct economic impacts. They differ strongly between the economic sectors indicating that the application of a single factor as a proxy for the indirect impacts of all economic sectors is not appropriate.
主题	Risk & ; Resilience (RISK) ; Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15833/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131610
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sieg T,Vogel K,Mechler R,et al. Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification.. 2019.

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