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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1038/nature25467 |
Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy exporting regions. | |
Jewell J; McCollum D; Emmerling J; Bertram C; Gernaat DEHJ; Krey V; Paroussos L; Berger L | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
出处 | Nature 554 (7691): 229-233 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Hopes are high that removing fossil fuel subsidies could help to mitigate climate change by discouraging inefficient energy consumption and levelling the playing field for renewables1–3. In September 2016, the G20 countries re-affirmed their 2009 commitment (at the G20 Leaders’ Summit) to phase out fossil fuel subsidies4,5 and many national governments are using today’s low oil prices as an opportunity to do so6–9. In practical terms, this means abandoning policies that decrease the price of fossil fuels and electricity generated from fossil fuels to below normal market prices10,11. However, whether the removal of subsidies, even if implemented worldwide, would have a large impact on climate change mitigation has not been systematically explored. Here we show that fossil fuel subsidy removal would have a small impact on global energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions and would not increase renewable energy use by 2030. Subsidy removal would reduce the carbon price necessary to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration at 550 parts per million by only 2–12 per cent under low oil prices. Removing subsidies in most regions would deliver smaller emission reductions than the Paris Agreement (2015) climate pledges and in some regions global subsidy removal may actually lead to an increase in emissions, owing to either coal replacing subsidized oil and natural gas or natural-gas use shifting from subsidizing, energy-exporting regions to non-subsidizing, importing regions. Our results show that subsidy removal would result in the largest CO2 emission reductions in oil- and gas-exporting regions, where reductions would exceed their climate pledges and where subsidy removal would also affect fewer people below the poverty line than in lower-income regions. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Climate-change mitigation, Climate-change policy |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15086/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131390 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jewell J,McCollum D,Emmerling J,et al. Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy exporting regions.. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Subsidies%20paper%20(667KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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