| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.eist.2016.04.004 |
| Measuring the duration of formative phases for energy technologies. | |
| Bento N; Wilson C | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 21: 95-112 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Innovation processes during the early period of a technology’s development establish the conditions for widespread commercialization. For comparative analysis of innovation processes across technologies, a common operational definition of the formative phase is needed. This paper develops a set of indicators to measure the start and end points of formative phases with reference to key innovation processes including experimentation and market formation. The indicators are then applied to measure the formative phase durations of sixteen energy technologies covering a range of historical periods and applications. Formative phases are found to last 22 years on average. Determinants of formative phase duration are explored. Duration does not appear to be explained by unit scale, up-scaling, nor initial cost. However, technologies that are ready substitutes for incumbents have shorter formative phases, ceteris paribus. Policy implications include the potentials and risks of accelerating formative phases to push low carbon technologies into the market. |
| 主题 | Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
| 关键词 | Innovation systems Diffusion Formative phase Indicators Energy technologies |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13160/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130616 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bento N,Wilson C. Measuring the duration of formative phases for energy technologies.. 2016. |
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