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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1038/nclimate2572
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C.
Rogelj J; Luderer G; Pietzcker RC; Kriegler E; Schaeffer M; Krey V; Riahi K
发表日期2015
出处Nature Climate Change 5 (6): 519-527
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Many impacts projected for a global warming level of 2 degrees C relative to pre-industrial levels may excede the coping capacities of particularly vulnerable countries. Therefore, many countries advocate limiting warming to below 1.5 derees C. Here we analyse integated energy-economy- environment scenarios that keep warming to below 1.5 degrees C by 2100. We find that in such scenarios, energy-system transformations are in many aspects similar to 2 degrees C-consistent scenarios, but show a faster scale-up of mitigation acion in most sectors, leading to observable differences in emission reductions in 2030 and 2050. The move from a 2 degrees C- to a 1.5 degrees C-consistent word will be achieved mainly through additional reductions of CO2. This implies an earlier transition to net zero carbon emissions worldwide, to be achieved between 2045 and 2060. Energy efficiency and stringent early reductions are key to retain a possibility for limiting warming to below 1.5 degrees C by 2100. The window for achieving this goal is small and rapidly closing.
主题Energy (ENE)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11447/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130357
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Rogelj J,Luderer G,Pietzcker RC,et al. Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C.. 2015.
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