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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1038/nclimate2572 |
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C. | |
Rogelj J; Luderer G; Pietzcker RC; Kriegler E; Schaeffer M; Krey V; Riahi K | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
出处 | Nature Climate Change 5 (6): 519-527 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Many impacts projected for a global warming level of 2 degrees C relative to pre-industrial levels may excede the coping capacities of particularly vulnerable countries. Therefore, many countries advocate limiting warming to below 1.5 derees C. Here we analyse integated energy-economy- environment scenarios that keep warming to below 1.5 degrees C by 2100. We find that in such scenarios, energy-system transformations are in many aspects similar to 2 degrees C-consistent scenarios, but show a faster scale-up of mitigation acion in most sectors, leading to observable differences in emission reductions in 2030 and 2050. The move from a 2 degrees C- to a 1.5 degrees C-consistent word will be achieved mainly through additional reductions of CO2. This implies an earlier transition to net zero carbon emissions worldwide, to be achieved between 2045 and 2060. Energy efficiency and stringent early reductions are key to retain a possibility for limiting warming to below 1.5 degrees C by 2100. The window for achieving this goal is small and rapidly closing. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11447/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130357 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rogelj J,Luderer G,Pietzcker RC,et al. Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C.. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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