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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105007 |
Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection. | |
Rogelj J; Schaeffer M; Meinshausen M; Knutti R; Alcamo J; Riahi K; Hare W | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
出处 | Environmental Research Letters 10 (10): no.105007 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Recently, assessments have robustly linked stabilization of global-mean temperature rise to the necessity of limiting the total amount of emitted carbon-dioxide (CO2). Halting global warming thus requires virtually zero annual CO2 emissions at some point. Policymakers have now incorporated this concept in the negotiating text for a new global climate agreement, but confusion remains about concepts like carbon neutrality, climate neutrality, full decarbonization, and net zero carbon or net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Here we clarify these concepts, discuss their appropriateness to serve as a long-term global benchmark for achieving temperature targets, and provide a detailed quantification. We find that with current pledges and for a likely (>66%) chance of staying below 2 degrees C, the scenario literature suggest net zero CO2 emissions between 2060 and 2070, with net negative CO2 emissions thereafter. Because of residual non-CO2 emissions, net zero is always reached later for total GHG emissions than for CO2. Net zero emissions targets are a useful focal point for policy, linking a global temperature target and socio-economic pathways to a necessary long-term limit on cumulative CO2 emissions. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | climate policy climate stabilization UNFCC greenhouse gases carbon dioxide global goal climate change |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11327/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130254 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rogelj J,Schaeffer M,Meinshausen M,et al. Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection.. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Zero%20emission%20ta(1212KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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