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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020
Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy.
Kriegler E; Petermann N; Krey V; Schwanitz VJ; Luderer G; Ashina S; Bosetti V; Eom J
发表日期2015
出处Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 45-61
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Integrated assessments of how climate policy interacts with energy-economy systems can be performed by a variety of models with different functional structures. In order to provide insights into why results differ between models, this article proposes a diagnostic scheme that can be applied to a wide range of models. Diagnostics can uncover patterns of model behavior and indicate how results differ between model types. Such insights are informative since model behavior can have a significant impact on projections of climate change mitigation costs and other policy-relevant information. The authors propose diagnostic indicators to characterize model responses to carbon price signals and test these in a diagnostic study of 11 global models. Indicators describe the magnitude of emission abatement and the associated costs relative to a harmonized baseline, the relative changes in carbon intensity and energy intensity, and the extent of transformation in the energy system. This study shows a correlation among indicators suggesting that models can be classified into groups based on common patterns of behavior in response to carbon pricing. Such a classification can help to explain variations among policy-relevant model results.
主题Energy (ENE)
关键词Climate policy Integrated assessment models Energy system models Model diagnostics Climate change economics
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11541/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130152
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GB/T 7714
Kriegler E,Petermann N,Krey V,et al. Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy.. 2015.
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