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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020 |
Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. | |
Kriegler E; Petermann N; Krey V; Schwanitz VJ; Luderer G; Ashina S; Bosetti V; Eom J | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
出处 | Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 45-61 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Integrated assessments of how climate policy interacts with energy-economy systems can be performed by a variety of models with different functional structures. In order to provide insights into why results differ between models, this article proposes a diagnostic scheme that can be applied to a wide range of models. Diagnostics can uncover patterns of model behavior and indicate how results differ between model types. Such insights are informative since model behavior can have a significant impact on projections of climate change mitigation costs and other policy-relevant information. The authors propose diagnostic indicators to characterize model responses to carbon price signals and test these in a diagnostic study of 11 global models. Indicators describe the magnitude of emission abatement and the associated costs relative to a harmonized baseline, the relative changes in carbon intensity and energy intensity, and the extent of transformation in the energy system. This study shows a correlation among indicators suggesting that models can be classified into groups based on common patterns of behavior in response to carbon pricing. Such a classification can help to explain variations among policy-relevant model results. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Climate policy Integrated assessment models Energy system models Model diagnostics Climate change economics |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11541/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130152 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kriegler E,Petermann N,Krey V,et al. Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy.. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
1-s2.0-S004016251300(1304KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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