| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1 |
| A new scenario framework for climate change research: Scenario matrix architecture. | |
| van Vuuren DP; Kriegler E; O'Neill BC; Ebi KL; Riahi K; Carter TR; Edmonds J; Hallegatte S | |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| 出处 | Climatic Change 122 (3): 373-386 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11013/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130109 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Vuuren DP,Kriegler E,O'Neill BC,et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: Scenario matrix architecture.. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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