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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002 |
A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. | |
van Vuuren DP; Riahi K; Moss R; Edmonds J; Thomson A; Nakicenovic N; Kram T; Berkhout F | |
发表日期 | 2012 |
出处 | Global Environmental Change 22 (1): 21-35 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In this paper, we propose a scenario framework that could provide a scenario "thread" through the different climate research communities (climate change - vulnerability, impact, and adaptation - and mitigation) in order to support assessment of mitigation and adaptation strategies and climate impacts. The scenario framework is organized around a matrix with two main axes: radiative forcing levels and socio-economic conditions. The radiative forcing levels (and the associated climate signal) are described by the new Representative Concentration Pathways. The second axis, socio-economic developments comprises elements that affect the capacity for mitigation and adaptation, as well as the exposure to climate impacts. The proposed scenarios derived from this framework are limited in number, allow for comparison across various mitigation and adaptation levels, address a range of vulnerability characteristics, provide information across climate forcing and vulnerability states and span a full century time scale. Assessments based on the proposed scenario framework would strengthen cooperation between integrated-assessment modelers, climate modelers and vulnerability, impact and adaptation researchers, and most importantly, facilitate the development of more consistent and comparable research within and across these research communities. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
关键词 | Climate change Scenario analysis Integrated assessment Mitigation Adaptation Climate impacts |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10025/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129439 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Vuuren DP,Riahi K,Moss R,et al. A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities.. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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